Educational only: Work and pay decision support, not tax, legal, financial or career advice.
Privacy: No account is required. Tool inputs and results stay in this browser. Anonymous categorical usage analytics send only governed page, tool, cluster and action identifiers; tool inputs and results are never sent. Error monitoring is disabled. Optional saved state stays only on this device.
Update policy: Reviewed when formulas or official dependencies change.
Scope: Market-neutral work and pay planning using your own assumptions.
What this calculator helps you decide
Best for
Keeping contingent bonus pay separate from guaranteed base pay.
Outputs
Full bonus, full-payout pay, expected bonus and probability-weighted total pay.
Start here
Enter base pay and the bonus basis, then estimate the chance of payout.
- Close-intent boundary
- Do not use this to estimate sales-linked commission; use Commission Calculator for a user-entered commission plan.
Value raises and extra income
Bonus: full bonus
Full bonus, full-payout pay, expected bonus and probability-weighted total pay.
Base pay and bonus
Enter the bonus as an amount or percentage, then estimate its chance of payout.
Your numbers stay in this browser
Gross annual pay before bonus.
Choose a stated amount or a percentage of base pay.
Bonus rate as a decimal, where 0.10 means 10%.
Estimated chance of receiving the bonus, from 0 to 1.
Calculated result
The full payout and probability-weighted pay are shown separately so contingent pay is not treated as certain.
Use one currency consistently across all inputs.
PDF and CSV exports stay on this device. Clean page links contain no inputs.
Scenario comparison
Each row names the assumption axis changed from the baseline.
ScenarioResultDifference
Entered scenario64,500.00Baseline
Probability of payout: 0.864,800.00300.00
Save these results, change an input, then compare the updated figures with this baseline.
The baseline is temporary in this tab and is not added to shared scenario links or generated reports.
Calculation details
View calculation detailsView the formulas and inputs used for these results.
Stated bonus
Stated bonus
bonusAmount = amount basis ? entered bonusAmount : basePay × bonusRate6,000.00 currency unitsResult6,000.00 currency units
The amount implied by the selected bonus basis. Displayed using the engine-rounded value.
Stated bonus formula →Pay if bonus is paid
Pay if bonus is paid
grossPayWithBonus = basePay + bonusAmount66,000.00 currency unitsResult66,000.00 currency units
Base annual pay plus the full stated bonus. Displayed using the engine-rounded value.
Pay if bonus is paid formula →Probability-weighted bonus
Probability-weighted bonus
expectedBonus = bonusAmount × probability4,500.00 currency unitsResult4,500.00 currency units
Stated bonus multiplied by the entered payout probability. Displayed using the engine-rounded value.
Probability-weighted bonus formula →Expected total pay
Expected total pay
expectedTotalPay = basePay + bonusAmount × probability64,500.00 currency unitsResult64,500.00 currency units
Base pay plus the probability-weighted bonus. Displayed using the engine-rounded value.
Expected total pay formula →Inputs used
- Base annual pay
- 60,000.00 currency units
- Bonus basis
- 0
- Bonus rate
- 0.1
- Probability of payout
- 0.75
Open this calculator with preset values
This calculator supports documented, shareable scenario URLs. Compatible assistants and applications can construct links using the parameters below.
Scenario values are visible in the URL, calculations run in the browser, and optional saved state stays only on this device. Anyone you share the URL with can read those numbers, so do not include private or identifying data.
| Parameter | Meaning | Unit | Allowed values | Presence | Default |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| basePay | Gross annual pay before bonus. | currency units/year | 0.01 to 100000000 | Required | 60000 |
| basis | Choose a stated amount or a percentage of base pay. | selected basis | 0, 1 | Required | Percentage of base pay |
| bonusRate | Bonus rate as a decimal, where 0.10 means 10%. | decimal rate | 0 to 10 | Required | 0.1 |
| bonusAmount | Stated gross bonus amount when amount basis is selected. | currency units | 0.01 to 100000000 | Required | 6000 |
| probability | Estimated chance of receiving the bonus, from 0 to 1. | probability | 0 to 1 | Required | 0.75 |
Bonus: full bonus
Use expected total pay as a scenario value while keeping the full payout visibly contingent.
Formula summary
- Primary formula
- expectedTotalPay = basePay + bonusAmount × probability
Data used here
- The estimate uses your inputs and the work-value formula documented in the methodology.
Decision checks
Act on the result
Check the payout rules and historical or contractual evidence behind the probability assumption.
Stress-test the decision
Retest the probability at zero and one to see the base-only and full-payout boundaries.
When this estimate can be misleading
- Expected value is not a guaranteed payout.
- Bonus rules, caps and performance conditions are not inferred.
- The result does not calculate take-home pay.
- Use expected total pay as a scenario value while keeping the full payout visibly contingent.
Educational estimate, not advice. See all assumptions & limitations →
Related reading
Use these practical guides to interpret the decision and its assumptions.
- How to use the Bonus calculator
Calculate full-payout and probability-weighted bonus value from an amount or percentage.
Read guide
Frequently asked questions
How much is this bonus worth if I account for its chance of payout?
Check the payout rules and historical or contractual evidence behind the probability assumption.
Which official source and period does this use?
This market-neutral tool does not use an official local policy rule.
Can I share or save a scenario?
Tool inputs and results stay in this browser. Anonymous categorical usage analytics send only governed page, tool, cluster and action identifiers; tool inputs and results are never sent. Error monitoring is disabled. Optional saved state stays only on this device.
How should I validate the estimate before acting?
Use the estimate as a bounded planning range and replace assumptions with current work and pay records before committing.